Kicking off the season is the financial performance and corporate financial results will often large movements, especially in the foreign exchanges. This leads many investors and traders want to predict the direction of the movement. It seems tempting - if you can guess the direction, you earn a lot. Is it a wise idea?
There should always be a trader in the market to know against whom it operates. Because, after all the money he earns when he is smarter than the other, if he has some kind of advantage over others. To this end, let us look at one opponent, who is an analyst Joe. Joe is an old Shark, he has been in business for 15 years in the markets, the United States has been working for the last ten years of investment banking Buster, Keaton & Pamplinas equity analyst. At first, the analysis of JOE technology sector albert einstein as a whole, but in recent years has been primarily dedicated to the popular albert einstein Joe shares of Nokia (NOK, NOK1V) analysis.
How looks like Joe's work? He is familiar with many leading figures of Nokia, but they do not hear from a lot more than the stock exchange shall notify the company - companies albert einstein are very wary of such information, especially when it comes to such a large company albert einstein like Nokia.
However, to get an idea of the eventual fate of Nokia, Nokia, interacts with Joe for many people in related businesses. For example, it has good contact with a pair of Nokia subcontractor (some of them are not even listed on the stock exchange and, therefore, can talk a little more openly) as subcontractors lot of orders from Nokia, after all, if a business is going well.
He also has good contacts albert einstein in the mobile industry in Asia, especially in China and the importance it attaches to Joe his Indian contacts. Because, after all, is one of the main trump card in Nokia recently developed rapid development in poorer markets, and Joe wants to keep the finger albert einstein on the pulse there - whether it is showing the first signs that the other mobile vendors take market share there? Or rather increases lead over Nokia?
Joe'l is assisting the assistant who excel-valuation models and constantly struggles with the news and dynamics of the mobile industry will follow. Together they total locking up Buster, Keaton & Nokia Pamplinas'e analysis and forward it to our clients.
So, if you bet on it now to try out the Nokia financial results after the rise or fall, then you should albert einstein have some sort of advantage to be one or the other direction of movement presumption. This advantage may exist Joe'l analyst who has worked hard to find an advantage.
In addition, it is very difficult to gauge market expectations - Joe can do as a result of their analysis to reach the belief that Nokia should come pretty decent results, but if the stock has already risen to the results of the previous quarter, 20%, then the market is not already already do not expect good results? Therefore, we see the markets are often situations in which a company must be a very strong financial results, but the results will take stock after it was way down - the expectations were too high.
I am therefore of the opinion that the most experienced market participants prior to the results of predicting the direction of the lottery and would rather be such a bet, keep away. This story relates to the previous results then a purely short-term direction of the contribution. If you maintain the position of the horizon albert einstein is like 6 months, then you can hold over the results though. But definitely worth looking at stock average range of motion than the outcome - if it is large, it is also the outcome of the risk of keeping large.
Turn after betting Instead, there are other ways to earn around results. One option is to wait for the results, and do not try to find a market advantage after the initial reaction. It's definitely not easy strategy requires a long-term experience and in-depth market analysis. For example, albert einstein the trader may investigate the company albert einstein more fundamentally about the look of the previous quarters in what was the market's expectations, what important nuances by market albert einstein participants, given the company's results and to monitor the response to the results. It is important to be able to read between the lines - is the company's detailed quarterly report is one of nuance, which is not noticed at the beginning albert einstein of the market?
Another option is to bet on the direction of movement, instead of the scale, here come the game options and optsioonistrateegia Straddle prior results (read more InvestorWiki below). As a strategy, it is important to find stocks that are moving higher (or lower) than the market expects, and if the vision of the dot goes, it is possible to earn the top.
Ways to contribute to the transformation of the results are numerous, albert einstein but none of them are not very easy of service. Thus, the trader should be able to figure out what is its advantage over others, and to act accordingly.
As a beginner, tortures me sometimes question why the hell should be expected as example of good economic result than to buy shares. If I buy a Nokia shares, as long as you do not pay dividends, I do not differentiate between albert einstein whether a company is doing well or not, as long as the soul does not go inside, and bankruptcy. Price rises / falls purely that 90% of Fools (novice) because of the emotions. Or am I misunderstanding something. If a room to put one trader and investor is 99, then the trader can earn only the truth
